Research

I work on causal machine learning and educational data science. The four threads below run through my dissertation and my collaborations. Each card opens a short page with the methods, the data, and the papers.

grade 9 grade 10 grade 10 algebra II geometry pre-calc calculus estimated best sequence for this student

Optimal and dynamic treatment regimes

#Policy Learning #Optimal Treatment Regimes #TMLE #Feasibility

Learning which sequence of courses to recommend to an individual student, and making the recommendation one a school could actually follow.

Read more
generative model one real sample many synthetic replicates bias, variance, fairness and policy utility, measured

Generative AI for synthetic data and method evaluation

#Synthetic Data #Monte Carlo #CTGAN #Diffusion Models

Using generative models to build simulation studies whose data behaves like the data researchers actually analyze.

Read more
problem formulator data engineer analyst outline writer gatekeeper pass / revise / abort manuscript pass revise six agents under a state machine, with up to two revision cycles

LLM multi-agent systems for automated quantitative research

#Multi-agent Systems #LLM Evaluation #Automated Research #Distillation

EDM-ARS carries a study from question to manuscript, and reviews its own methods on the way. Plus distilling a black-box model into one that explains itself.

Read more
group A group B same model, different error rates measured before the model is used to decide

Algorithmic fairness in prediction and decision-making

#Algorithmic Fairness #Dropout Prediction #Auditing #Multilevel Data

A model can be accurate overall and wrong unevenly. Measuring that before anyone acts on its output.

Read more